The RMR (recurring monthly revenue) model is the entire thesis. A home automation platform - security, smart home, monitoring - sells install at modest or break-even margin and captures $40-$120 per month per customer on a 3-5 year contract. Industry transactions consistently value platforms at 30-50 times RMR. A platform with $1 million in monthly recurring revenue is often worth $350 million to $600 million. This is not EBITDA-based valuation and CFOs who have never modelled RMR multiples misprice both acquisitions and exits.
The consolidation has accelerated. ADT remains the public-market anchor, but the PE-backed side has been where the action is - GTCR backed Vivint-adjacent plays, and multiple mid-cap platforms (Brinks Home, Alert 360, CPI Security) have changed hands at valuations that only make sense if you understand RMR math. The acquisition arbitrage is buying $200/mo customers at 28x RMR and rolling them into a platform that trades at 40x RMR on exit.
The operational complexity is real. Platforms run two completely different businesses under one roof - a low-margin install business (capex-intensive, labour-driven) and a high-margin monitoring business (recurring, software-driven). Most operations leaders can run one but not both. The scarce profile is the leader who understands install crew productivity AND can model the lifetime value math that determines which customers are worth acquiring.